Michele Chabin, Special for USA TODAY
JERUSALEM - President Obama arrived here Wednesday on a high-profile trip to Israel, his first as president, to assure the Jewish state of U.S. commitment to stopping a nuclear Iran and boost the prospect of peace talks with Palestinians demanding their own state.
Prime Minister Netanyahu set up a major welcome for Obama, who will visit Israeli military defensive installations, speak to Israeli students and meet Palestinian leaders in the disputed West Bank territory.
"It's in our fundamental security interest to stand with Israel," Obama said, shortly after emerging from Air Force One around noon local time at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion International Airport. Netanyahu welcomed Obama to Israel and thanked him for defending "our unbreakable alliance."
But Israelis, both Jews and Arabs, are skeptical that President Obama's visit will lead to anything substantive on the peace front.
"The only thing I expect from this visit is huge traffic jams," said a 60-year-old Jerusalemite on Wednesday, who was watching an early-morning talk show on TV in the small store where he sells lottery tickets, ahead of Obama's arrival.
"When someone comes to Israel to work seriously, he does so quietly, not with a lot of noise," said Natan, who said he could not share his last name because he has worked in Israeli security. For Natan, "peace means that my grandchildren won't have to serve in the army. But that's just a dream," he said.
Preparing for a crush of breakfast customers at the bagel café where he works, Nabulsi Alaa, 26, an Arab resident of East Jerusalem, expressed the hope that the Amrican president's visit will make it possible for Arabs in Israel to visit family and friends in the West Bank, and for Arabs in the West Bank to visit Israel. "I'm somewhat optimistic," Alaa said.
The White House said it does not expect significant agreements to come out of the trip, in which Obama will also visit Jordan. Former U.S. ambassador to Israel Edward Djerejian says the trip is a chance to improve U.S. relations with Israelis and Palestinians and clarify where the United States stands on the tumultuous events of the Middle East.
Obama last visited the region in 2009, traveling to Saudi Arabia and Egypt. He visited the Jewish state in 2008 as a presidential candidate.
"I'm a believer in the importance of the personal relationship and dialogue between leaders," said Djerejian, ambassador under President Clinton. "It's important they establish a working relationship ... that can be translated into possible action."
Since Obama last visited, the region has become more dangerous. A rebellion against Syrian President Bashar Assad rages in Syria. Iran is refusing to end its nuclear program despite U.N. sanctions. Islamist governments have gained power in Egypt and Tunisia, and Muslim militias backed by al-Qaeda are on the rise in North Africa and the Persian Gulf states.
Peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians have stalled. Israel says the Palestinian Authority refuses to negotiate over the portions of the West Bank that should go to a Palestinian state and those that should be part of Israel. Palestinians argue that Israel will not compromise to their satisfaction, so why negotiate?
Silvan Shalom, a Cabinet minister in Netanyahu's Likud Party, said a provisional agreement is possible. "Our goal is to reach an agreement (even) if it is in stages," he said.
Dan Schueftan, the director of the National Security Center at the University of Haifa, and a visiting professor at Georgetown University, predicted the Obama visit will accomplish almost nothing for Israeli-Palestinian relations.
"You can't be pessimistic enough. The gaps between the mainstream Israeli and Palestinian positions are too large. You can't have a peace deal without including Gaza," which is ruled by Hamas, whose goal is to destroy Israel. "But you can't reach a settlement with the [Palestinian President] Abbas that doesn't include Gaza. And Israel can't include Gaza."
Second, the Palestinians won't abandon the "right of return," but "if you bring to Israel every Palestinian whose grandparents left in 1948. No Israeli government could survive if it agreed to this."
Still, Schueftan believes Obama's visit could strengthen U.S-Israel ties.
"The basic relations between Israel and the U.S. are very, very solid. I think Obama realizes that he went about things in the wrong way in his first term in office and is adopting a different approach that has much more potential to succeed.
"Now, he is emphasizing the positive and is willing to listen to the Israelis. And the recent Israeli election produced a much more centrist reality. We have a much better starting point."
However, Obama arrives at a time when a recent media poll in Israel found just 10% of Israelis view him favorably - in light of his public bouts with Netanyahu, who asked Obama to set a "red line" on when military forces must be used against Iran.
"Obama is retreating from the Middle East, indifferent to the collapse of Egypt, uninterested in the return of al-Qaeda to Iraq, and he appears to have no blueprint for Iran other than more concessions," says Danielle Pletka of the American Enterprise Institute. "So why's he going?"